Stock markets took a hit and bond prices soared after two major events this week. First, Ukraine launched its first long-range missile into Russia, using US-made weapons, and second, Russian President Vladimir Putin made some concerning updates to the country’s nuclear policy.
The news that Ukraine had fired missiles into Russian territory caused many investors to rush for safer investments, like the US dollar, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. These are currencies seen as more stable during times of uncertainty.
The missile strike, confirmed by US and Ukrainian officials, targeted Russia’s Bryansk region. This came after President Joe Biden gave Ukraine more freedom to use these US-made missiles in their fight. While this was a big move, the financial markets were even more shaken by Putin’s new nuclear strategy. He signed a decree lowering the bar for using nuclear weapons. Basically, if Russia is attacked by a country backed by nuclear power, it could trigger Russia’s use of nuclear weapons in defense. This has made investors nervous, fearing the risk of nuclear conflict.
These concerns had an immediate effect on stock markets. In Europe, stocks fell sharply, with the Stoxx 600 index dropping over 1%, its lowest level since August. The UK’s FTSE 100 and US stock markets also saw declines, and Wall Street’s “fear index” jumped up by nearly 10%, signaling rising anxiety among traders.
Market analysts pointed out that the real worry is how Russia might react. While the use of nuclear weapons still seems unthinkable, the updated doctrine means it’s now a real possibility, and that has investors on edge.
In the foreign exchange markets, the euro, pound, and other currencies weakened as people scrambled to buy safer options like the US dollar. Investors also flocked to government bonds from the UK, US, and the eurozone, pushing down their interest rates.
Additionally, there was some unsettling news about two underwater cables in the Baltic Sea being mysteriously cut, which some suspect was sabotage. All these factors combined have made investors nervous about the future.
Finally, after an initial surge in the stock market following Donald Trump’s recent election win, that rally seems to have faded, leading to a drop in stock prices. Analysts are concerned that Trump’s policies, such as higher trade tariffs and crackdowns on illegal immigration, could disrupt businesses and lead to higher prices.
In short, the markets are feeling the pressure of global tensions, and investors are scrambling for safer bets as uncertainty grows.